The Transit Referendum.... The results?

So. Maybe I've missed something. I've been away as my faithful reader knows.

The 2015 Metro Vancouver Transportation and Transit Plebiscite, otherwise known at the transit referendum, was held by a mail-in ballot and voting closed at 20h00 on Friday, 29 May. Simple enough. I voted and encouraged others to do the same, regardless of their position. We are told that about 45% of eligible voters made the effort. Not bad, all things considered.






I have a question: Where are the results?

It's been almost three weeks and ... no results. Unless I've missed something of course. Entirely possible.

It takes less than an evening for our nation to count, by hand mind you, an entire federal election. With a few minor exceptions we get it right in every constituency. The Excited States marvel at our abilities. There they use all sorts of mechanical devices and it sometimes takes days. And even then they don't always get it right.


So why aren't the results from the Metro Vancouver Transportation and Transit Plebiscite available from Elections BC? On their website they say,"Counting and reporting of voting results is expected to last a number of weeks, depending on voter participation in the plebiscite."  Really? And what does a number of weeks mean exactly? Four? Five? When our political masters tell us?

How hard could this be? Or am I missing something?

Copyright 2015 by Jim Murray.2015 

Trudeau's Real Change is turning orange

Liberal Party Leader Justin Trudeau announced a 32-point plan today, called "Real change." Much of it is old politics as usual.




Trudeau offers some good things, like promises to reinstall the mandatory long-form census, to reopen the veterans' service centres that Harper's Conservatives closed recently, and to end "political harassment" of charities and "muzzling" of scientists.

Stupidly, he plans to up-end the democratic process within 18 months of being elected. The Liberals would form an all-party committee to study different electoral systems and make recommendations. He promises to provide Canada with a new voting process, all within 18 months of the forming a government. Really? In Canada? We'd be lucky to have the committee in place within 18 months. Oddly, in December, Trudeau was given a chance to support changing the electoral system, but instead voted against an NDP motion to make the 2015 the last first-past-the-post election, and its recommendation to use MMP, or mixed-member proportional representation.

Trudeau promises more free votes in Parliament, though the whole thing is rather vague. There is a plan to create a non-partisan Senate, whatever the hell that might be. Trudeau offers no clear evidence of wanting to create an accountable Senate, nor an elected Senate, nor even an effective Senate. Old politics gussied up to look like something new.

Trudeau would create an all-party national security oversight committee to monitor and oversee the operations of every government department with national security responsibilities. This was one of the major criticisms of Bill C-51 yet the Liberals joined with Harper's Conservatives to foist this terrible bill upon Canadians. Is this a flip-flop, a correction, or the recognition that he lost a lot of voters when he joined hands with Harper on C-51?

On this same day, an on-line Angus Reid survey of more than 6,000 Canadians was published and found that among those who are likely to vote, 36 percent support the NDP, 33 percent support the Conservatives and only 23 percent support the Liberals.

Approval ratings for the three major party leaders suggests ever more increasing strength for the NDP: Harper has declined to 37 percent (down 5 points), Trudeau is down to 43 percent (down 6 points), while Tom Mulcair's approval increases to 54 percent (up 6 points).






Mr. Trudeau told his crowd today that Canadians think all politicians are the same, "But I know it's not true... We need to show Canadians that real change in possible." He's right. It's just that the face of change looks like Tom Mulcair.

Copyright 2015 by Jim Murray.

A picture says a thousand words... Good news for the NDP

A picture says a thousand words:

The Conservatives are down. The Liberals are down. New Democrats are up.

Less than a year ago, the Liberals under Justin Trudeau were comfortably leading in the polls... Today, the party is losing steam and in danger of dropping out of a three-way race with its erstwhile floundering opponents.

Éric Grenier of ThreeHundredEight.com

In British Columbia, since mid-February, the NDP has gone from 22 percent to 31 percent, while the Liberals have dropped from 34 percent to 27 percent. Across the nation the NDP have gained polling numbers in every region, while the Liberals have seen support decrease in every area. For the most part, the Conservatives have held their support, though it has softened. Importantly, they are now down slightly in Ontario, where again it is the NDP that shows growing strength.

We are now four months away from the election. The vote in British Columbia is set to be important beyond words on election night. The rest of the country will be waiting on our results. Voting Liberal or Green, especially in BC, will only help elect another Conservative government. And no one wants to do that.

Copyright 2015 by Jim Murray.

Full polling numbers and analysis at www.ThreeHundredEight.com